Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.001004 0.001055 0.001107 0.001164 0.001224 0.001287 0.001357
2025-08-03 0.000929 0.001003 0.001081 0.001170 0.001268 0.001374 0.001497
2025-08-10 0.000867 0.000956 0.001052 0.001165 0.001294 0.001437 0.001610
2025-08-17 0.000805 0.000903 0.001010 0.001140 0.001291 0.001464 0.001678
2025-08-24 0.000760 0.000864 0.000981 0.001125 0.001296 0.001497 0.001752
2025-08-31 0.000730 0.000840 0.000967 0.001125 0.001318 0.001548 0.001847
2025-09-07 0.000697 0.000811 0.000944 0.001113 0.001322 0.001577 0.001915
2025-09-14 0.000669 0.000787 0.000926 0.001104 0.001329 0.001608 0.001985
2025-09-21 0.000643 0.000763 0.000907 0.001093 0.001332 0.001633 0.002048
2025-09-28 0.000618 0.000739 0.000886 0.001079 0.001329 0.001650 0.002099
2025-10-05 0.000589 0.000710 0.000857 0.001052 0.001309 0.001642 0.002116
2025-10-12 0.000572 0.000694 0.000845 0.001047 0.001316 0.001670 0.002182
2025-10-19 0.000558 0.000683 0.000839 0.001051 0.001338 0.001721 0.002286
2025-10-26 0.000548 0.000676 0.000838 0.001062 0.001369 0.001786 0.002415
2025-11-02 0.000532 0.000663 0.000828 0.001060 0.001382 0.001827 0.002511
2025-11-09 0.000511 0.000639 0.000805 0.001038 0.001366 0.001826 0.002544
2025-11-16 0.000493 0.000622 0.000788 0.001025 0.001362 0.001841 0.002601
2025-11-23 0.000482 0.000612 0.000781 0.001025 0.001377 0.001883 0.002702
2025-11-30 0.000468 0.000597 0.000767 0.001014 0.001375 0.001901 0.002763
2025-12-07 0.000455 0.000584 0.000755 0.001006 0.001377 0.001923 0.002835
2025-12-14 0.000443 0.000571 0.000743 0.000997 0.001375 0.001941 0.002899
2025-12-21 0.000430 0.000557 0.000729 0.000984 0.001369 0.001950 0.002947
2025-12-28 0.000414 0.000538 0.000707 0.000961 0.001344 0.001930 0.002947